CLIMATE ANALYSIS WITH MANN-KENDALL TEST FOR TEMPERATURE TRENDS IN PADANG CITY

Abstract

The city of Padang located in West Sumatra experiences an average temperature ranging from 22°C to 32°C throughout the months with minimal fluctuations above 32°C or below 22°C. This paper’s analysis is done with the data supplied by Badan Metereologi, Klimatologi dan Geofisika (BMKG) from the year 2010-2023 and the calculations in this paper will be done using an algorithm written in the Python coding language on Google Colab that calculates the variance of the parameters Maximum Temperature, Minimum Temperature and Average Temperature of each month throughout the year and yearly, using the Mann-Kendall trend test, it will detect the trends of each variance of each month throughout the years and deduce whether there is a trend or not or if there is, whether the trend is ascending or descending. By comparing these values throughout the years, the analysis will show the minimal climate change Padang City has experienced through the years 2010-2023.