Analysis of the Effect of the COVID-19 Pandemic on Stock Return of Banking Company

Main Article Content

Desya Permatasari
Vidyarto Nugroho

Abstract

This research examines the influence of COVID-19 on stock return in banking companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange in 2020 between the 2nd of March and the 30th of December, 2020. To assess the effect of COVID-19, the growth of confirmed cases, the growth of death cases, the growth of recovery cases, and the new normal policy are used as independent variables, with stock returns as the dependent variable. Research method using quantitative. Sampling using probability sampling with census method. Testing data using the program EViews 12. The results reveal that, the growth in confirmed cases also the growth in death cases due to COVID-19 have a significant and negative effect on the stock returns of banking companies. The growth in COVID-19 recovery cases has a negative influence on the stock return, while the new normal policy has a positive influence on stock return of banking companies.

Article Details

Section
Articles

References

WHO, "Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19)," 2020. [Online]. Available: https://covid19.who.int/.

Yang, Yongshi, Peng, Fujun, Wang, Runsheng, Guan, Kai, Jiang, Taijiao, Xu, Guogang, Sun, Jinlyu, Chang and Christopher, "The deadly coronaviruses: the 2003 SARS pandemic and the 2020 novel coronavirus epidemic in China.," J. Autoimm, p. 109, 2020.

WHO, "Coronavirus (COVID-19)," 2020. [Online]. Available: https://who.sprinklr.com/.

B. N. Ashraf, "Stock markets’ reaction to COVID-19: cases or fatalities?," Research in International Business and Finance, Vol. 54, p. 101249, 2020.

"World Bank in Indonesia," 2021. [Online]. Available: https://www.worldbank.org/en/country/ indonesia/overview#1.

M. G. Ibrahim, "Update Corona 10 April: Kasus Positif di Indonesia Capai 3.512.," 2020. [Online]. Available: https://news.detik.com/berita/d-4972524/update-corona-10-april-kasus-positif-di-indonesia-capai3512.

Detik.com, "Ekonomi Indonesia Masuk Skenario Sangat Berat," 2020. [Online]. Available: https://finance.detik.com/berita-ekonomi-bisnis/d-5005400/ekonomi-ri-masuk-skenario-sangat-berat.

Kompas, "Skenario Tahapan New Normal untuk Pemulihan Ekonomi," 2020. [Online]. Available: https://money.kompas.com/read/2020/05/26/073708726/mulai-1-juni-ini-skenario-tahapan-new-normal-untuk-pemulihan-ekonomi?page=all.

O. Erdem, "Freedom and stock market performance during COVID-19 outbreak," Finance Research Letters Vol. 36, p. p. 101671, 2020.

N. Alber and A. Saleh, "The Impact of Covid-19 Spread on Stock Markets: The Case of the GCC Countries," International Business Research; Vol. 13, No. 1, pp. pp. 16-24, 2020.

A. Al-Awadhi, K. Alsaifi, A. Al-Awadhi and S. Alhammadi, "Death and contagious infectious diseases: impact of the COVID-19 virus on stock market returns," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Vol. 27, p. 100326, 2020.

J. W. Goodell, "COVID-19 and finance: agendas for future research.," Financ. Res. Lett 101512., 2020.

C. T. Nguyen, P. T. Hai and H. K. Nguyen, "Stock Market Returns and Liquidity during the COVID-19 Outbreak : Evidence from the Financial Services Sector in Vietnam," Asian Journal of Economics and Banking, 2021.

N. N. Talib, The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable, New York: The Random House Publishing Group, Inc, 2007.

E. Fama, "Efficient capital markets: A review of theory and empirical work," The Journal of Finance, Vol. 25, No. 2, p. pp. 383–417, 1970.

B. Z, A. Kane and A. Marcus, Investment, Asia global edition (9th ed.), McGraw-Hill Education, 2014.

M. Kartal, S. Depren and Ö. Depren, "How main stock exchange indices react to Covid-19 pandemic: Daily evidence from East Asian countries.," Global Economic Review, 2020.

Kemenkes, "Kemenkes Kenalkan Istilah Probable, Suspect, Kontak Erat dan Terkonfirmasi COVID-19," 2020. [Online]. Available: https://sehatnegeriku.kemkes.go.id/baca/umum/20200714/ 2834469/kemenkes-kenalkan-istilah-probable-suspect-kontak-erat-dan-terkonfirmasi-covid-19/.

C. C. Ngwakwe, "Effect of COVID-19 Pandemic on Global Stock Market Values: A Differential Analysis," Acta Universitatis Danubius. Œconomica, Vol. 16, no. 2, pp. pp. 255-269, 2020.

WHO, "International Guidelines for Certification and Classification (Coding) Of COVID-19 as Cause of Death," 2020. [Online].

M. R. Karim and S. A. Saba, "COVID-19 and Stock Return: Empirical Evidence from Developing Economy," International Journal of Management, Accounting and Economics Vol. 8, No. 6, pp. pp. 368-400, 2021.

WHO, "Criteria for Releasing COVID-19 Patients from Isolation," 2020. [Online]. Available: https://www.who.int/news-room/commentaries/detail/criteria-for-releasing-covid-19-patients-from-isolation.

C.-C. Lee and M.-P. Chen, "The impact of COVID-19 on the travel and leisure industry returns: Some international evidence," Tourism Economics, pp. 1-22, 2020.

Kemenkes, "Keputusan Menteri Kesehatan Republik Indonesia Nomor HK.01.07/ MENKES/ 382/2020," 2020. [Online]. Available: http://hukor.kemkes.go.id/uploads/produk_hukum/KMK_ No__HK_01_07-MENKES-382-2020_ttg_Protokol_Kesehatan_Bagi_Masyarakat_di_Tempat_ dan_Fasilitas_Umum_Dalam_Rangka_Pencegahan_COVID-19.pdf.

E. Bouri, M. A. Naeem, S. M. Nor, I. Mbarki and T. Saeed, "Government responses to COVID-19 and industry stock returns," Economic Research-Ekonomska Istraživanja, 2021.

A. T. Basuki and N. Prawoto, Analisis Regresi Dalam Penelitian Ekonomi dan Bisnis, Jakarta: Raja Grafindo Persada, 2016.

A. Mugiarni and P. Wulandari, "The Effect of Covid-19 Pandemic on Stock Returns: An Evidence of Indonesia Stock Exchange," Journal of International Conference Proceedings (JICP) Vol. 4 No. 1, pp. 28-36, 2021.

D. L. T. Anh and C. Gan, "The impact of the COVID-19 lockdown on stock market performance: evidence from vietnam," Journal of Economic Studies, Vol. 48 No. 4, pp. pp. 836-851, 2021.

N. Nurcahyono, A. N. Hanum and F. Sukesti, "The COVID-19 Outbreak and its Impact on Stock Market Returns: Evidence From Indonesia," Jurnal Dinamika Akuntansi dan Bisnis Vol. 8(1), pp. p. 47-58, 2021.

WHO, "A clinical case definition of post COVID-19 condition by a Delphi consensus," 2021. [Online]. Available: https://apps.who.int/iris/bitstream/handle/10665/345824/WHO-2019-nCoV-Post-COVID-19-condition-Clinical-case-definition-2021.1-eng.pdf.